US and European inflation data to be released consecutively, with a relatively light economic calendar on Wednesday

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智通财经2026/08/11 14:01

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On Wednesday, the European economic data schedule is relatively sparse, with key highlights focused on final inflation data confirmation from Germany and Italy.
Germany's June HICP final reading is expected to match the preliminary figure, with a month-on-month increase of about 0.9% and a year-on-year rise of approximately 2.8%. If in line with expectations, the marginal impact on the market will be limited.
Italy’s final CPI is also expected to remain unrevised, with a month-on-month decrease of around 1.0% and a year-on-year increase of about 2.9%. Both figures fall within the European Central Bank’s acceptable volatility range.
Germany’s December unadjusted current account balance previously stood at about €10.4 billion. This is a non-critical indicator with low market attention and is not expected to trigger significant fluctuations.
The real highlight comes in the evening session (Beijing time) with the release of the US CPI data. Market expectations for overall CPI are a month-on-month increase of about 0.1% (previous: -0.4%) and a year-on-year increase of approximately 3.4% (previous: 3.5%). The core CPI month-on-month is expected to rise by about 0.2% (previous: 0.0%) and year-on-year by about 2.5% (previous: 2.6%).
On the supply side, the UK will issue about £1.5 billion in inflation-linked gilts, while Germany will issue approximately €1.0 billion in five-year and about €1.5 billion in thirty-year government bonds on Wednesday. The moderate supply scale will have limited market impact, with investors’ focus shifting more towards the guidance for the Federal Reserve’s future path provided by the evening’s US inflation data.

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US and European inflation data to be released consecutively, with a relatively light economic calendar on Wednesday

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