XRP trades near $1.40 as analysts watch $1.39 support and $2.30 target

Long-term technical outlook: Decade-long triangle

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has identified what he describes as a massive ascending triangle on XRP’s monthly chart, stretching almost ten years. Within this setup, the primary resistance level sits at $3.66. Martinez indicated that a monthly close above this barrier would validate the long-term pattern and activate an ambitious technical target near $60.

XRP’s monthly chart has formed a decade-long ascending triangle, with $3.66 marked as the main resistance. A sustained breakout above this level could significantly impact the long-term projection, but current prices remain far from this threshold.

Despite these bullish projections, Martinez noted that XRP would first need to reclaim $3.66—more than double its recent price—to confirm this scenario. In the nearer term, a move toward $2.30 is considered a more realistic technical milestone according to several analysts.

Key support and resistance levels in focus

XRP’s movement around the $1.39 support zone remains critical in the short term. Recent trading data from CoinGecko shows the price closing at $1.45 on September 3, then pulling back to $1.40 the following day. Technical analysis on TradingView placed XRP around $1.396, with its 200-day simple moving average near $1.3927. Maintaining levels above $1.3887 is seen as necessary to preserve the bullish short-term outlook.

A confirmed recovery through the $1.4018 to $1.4057 band may open the door to $1.4132 and $1.4267, while a fall below $1.3887 could quickly expose the $1.36 to $1.35 range.

If XRP fails to hold above $1.39, analysts warn that the immediate bullish structure could be compromised, potentially delaying hopes for a broader rally. Conversely, overcoming the $1.47 to $1.53 resistance could target higher levels such as $1.80 and $2.30.

Short- and medium-term compression

Further analysis by ChartNerdTA points to XRP’s price consolidating between $1.30 support and $1.50 to $1.53 resistance, mapped out around a cluster of weekly exponential moving averages. This compression structure is compared to past market formations, such as the double-bottom pattern from 2022. A decisive close above $1.53 may open the way for a push toward $1.80 and $2.30, but the analyst cautions that this outcome is conditional on confirming a breakout beyond the identified resistance zone.

The shorter-term 4-hour chart carries additional significance, as TradingView analyst Ibrahim_BTC identified a recent breakout from a descending wedge structure. In this setup, $1.3733 acts as key support, while $1.4740 is the main resistance. Breaking above $1.4740 on a four-hour close would enhance the bullish case and suggest further upside toward $1.5985, with $1.3098 serving as the invalidation point for this move.

Mini dictionary: Descending wedge – a technical chart pattern characterized by downward-sloping resistance and support lines that converge, typically interpreted as a potential bullish reversal if price breaks above the resistance.

Institutional factors and ETF demand

Beyond technical analysis, institutional demand has become a key component of the XRP market. Ripple, the company behind XRP, has reported growing interest in the token from institutional investors, bolstered by consistent inflows into spot ETF products following new launches in late 2025. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan called these inflows a sign of robust institutional appetite for XRP. JPMorgan provided a projection that XRP ETFs could draw between $4 billion and $8.4 billion in inflows during their first year of operation, although this remains an estimate at present.

While analyst consensus is that institutional demand alone cannot guarantee higher prices, it forms an important backdrop for the asset alongside technical and liquidity factors.

Mini dictionary: Ripple – a US-based technology company that created the XRP Ledger and provides global payments and liquidity solutions for financial institutions.

Conditional outlook for a move to $2.30 and beyond

To support a stronger advance toward $2.30, analysts suggest XRP should first maintain the $1.37 to $1.39 support area and successfully break through resistance between $1.47 and $1.53. Only after a decisive breakout would higher levels like $1.80 and $2.30 become realistic short- to medium-term targets. Conversely, a retreat below $1.37 would undermine the positive setup and risk a further decline.

Long-term scenario and future price forecast

In the broader context, XRP remains roughly 62% below the $3.66 resistance highlighted in the ascending triangle analysis. Until that level is reclaimed, the bullish long-term scenario remains theoretical. The focus for now remains on the current compression and whether XRP can break higher or enter another phase of consolidation.

As of now, neither a sustained breakout nor a major breakdown has been confirmed, leaving the next substantial move for XRP as the crucial indicator for its future direction.