NAB sees RBA holding cash rate at 4.35% through 2026, flags first cut around mid-2027

Reuters2026/08/12 02:35

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NAB noted the RBA held the cash rate at 4.35% in August, keeping inflation as the central policy constraint.
Core inflation projection still returns to the 2%-3% band in H2 2027, with risks skewed to the upside.
Financial conditions assessed as “somewhat restrictive,” with the output gap “a little smaller” than in May.
NAB expects the RBA to stay on hold through 2026, with the next move a cut around mid-2027.
Housing weakness flagged as a downside risk, with investor loan commitments share falling to about 0.4% from about 0.6%.

Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. NAB - National Australia Bank Ltd. published the original content used to generate this news brief on August 12, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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NAB sees RBA holding cash rate at 4.35% through 2026, flags first cut around mid-2027

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