Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains bullish, pushing against $4,380 resistance

Gold holds gains around $4,350, with two-month highs at $4,380 under pressure.

Lower US yields amid signs of a loosening labour market are underpinning support for Gold.

Gold (XAU/USD) holds moderate gains at the mid-range of the $4,300s on Monday, consolidating gains after a nearly 7.5% rally last week. The precious metal hovers just below the last two-month highs in the $4,380 area, buoyed by lower US Treasury yields, as traders cut back Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes following the negative surprise of last Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls report.

The US Dollar remains on its back foot this week, in the aftermath of Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls release, which showed a 23K decline in net employment in July, undershooting expectations of an 80K increase, and sharp downside revisions of the previous two months' job gains. Futures markets have scaled back hopes of a September rate hike to 44% from 67% in the previous week, sending the US Dollar lower across the board.

Technical Analysis: Gold remains steady despite overbought RSI levels

XAU/USD trades at $4,343, maintaining its bullish near-term bias intact. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (14) has reached overbought levels, but downside attempts remain limited so far. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on the same timeframe hints that upside momentum is still constructive.

Bulls are likely to find significant resistance at the $4,380 area (June 17 high). Further up, the target is the late-May high at $4,595. On the downside, initial support is seen at the previous range top, above $4,200, ahead of the $4,000 psychological area, which halted bears in late July, and the bottom of July's trading range, around $3,950.