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FOREX-Yen climbs on hawkish BOJ repricing

FOREX-Yen climbs on hawkish BOJ repricing

ReutersReuters2026/09/03 03:20
By:Reuters

Updates to mid-morning Asia

Yen strengthens as investors mull faster pace of BOJ rate hikes

Overnight yen surge unlikely to be intervention, analysts say

Dollar under pressure ahead of U.S. nonfarm payrolls data

By Rae Wee

- The yen extended gains on Thursday after a sudden burst higher in the previous session, though traders stopped short of attributing the move to Japanese authorities and instead pointed to a hawkish repricing of domestic rate expectations.

The yen JPY= rose to an intraday peak of 157.95 per dollar in Asia, extending its 0.9% jump overnight that initially put markets on alert for any official intervention from Tokyo, though the scale and fleeting nature of the move suggested otherwise.

The Japanese currency's rally was broad-based, with the euro EURJPY= last down 0.38% to 183.27 yen, while sterling similarly fell 0.36% to 213.21 yen GBPJPY=.

"I believe there's little incentive for (the) Japanese government to intervene at this moment," said Kazumasa Ishii, a strategist at UBS SuMi Trust Wealth Management, citing "limited" signs that dollar/yen could scale a new multi-decade high in the near term.

The renewed strength in the yen follows hawkish comments from Bank of Japan (BOJ) board member Hajime Takata, who said on Wednesday the central bank should conduct interest rate hikes nimbly to counter intensifying inflationary pressures, rather than adhere to a fixed semiannual pace anticipated by markets.

"(The) remarks are the strongest messaging we've heard from the board and reintroduces the idea of an expedited rate hike trajectory," Citi said in a client note, adding that the market is taking Takata's comments "more seriously".

A BOJ rate hike this month is nearly fully priced in by markets. 0#JPYIRPR

Since a rare joint yen-buying intervention between the U.S. and Japan on July 31, the yen has struggled to find lasting support, coming under pressure from still-wide interest rate differentials, fiscal worries and a renewed spike in energy prices.

WAITING ON PAYROLLS

In the broader market, the strength in the yen left the U.S. dollar on the back foot, with the euro EUR= up marginally to $1.1593. Sterling GBP= bounced from a three-week low and last bought $1.3489.

The New Zealand dollar NZD= rose 0.13% to $0.5860, having slid 0.67% on Wednesday following a dovish hike from the country's central bank, while the Aussie AUD= held near a more than three-month high at $0.7166.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar =USD eased 0.14% to 99.46. The Canadian dollar CAD= extended overnight gains and stood at C$1.3833, after the Bank of Canada held rates on Wednesday, though it signalled its readiness to tighten policy to rein in inflation.

All eyes are now on Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, where analysts are forecasting an increase of 56,000 in jobs, following July's shock drop of 23,000, with unemployment holding at 4.1%.

It would probably need a much weaker outcome to greatly lessen the risk of a September rate hike from the Federal Reserve, with markets now pricing in a 61% chance of a move. 0#USDIRPR

"After Fed Chair (Kevin) Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech, I think markets are back to the idea that the Fed is prepared to take action in the near term to bring inflation closer to target more quickly," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

"Payrolls, I think, could come in solid again, given the supply shocks like the lower immigration and increased retirement... that would give another boost to FOMC rate-hike pricing."


(Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus and Kate Mayberry)

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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