1. CME FedWatch: Probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September rises to 57%
According to Bitcoin.com News, CME FedWatch data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points on September 16 has risen to 57%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 43%. Related transaction volume on Polymarket exceeded $66.6 million, and related trading volume on Kalshi exceeded $23.8 million. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh stated at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium that the Fed will adhere to its 2% personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index inflation target.
2. CFTC Chairman: Clarity Act will be passed by September 15
The CFTC Chairman stated live on Bloomberg Television that the Clarity Act will be passed by September 15.
3. Rising tensions in the Middle East: US strikes Iran's Larak Island, Brent crude rebounds to $90
According to Golden Ten Data, an oil tanker was attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, and the US military struck Iran's southern Larak Island to block the Revolutionary Guard's mine-laying operations. Iran's Revolutionary Guard claimed to have launched missiles at US bases, explosions were reported in Jordan, Greece is negotiating a $3.4 billion air defense agreement with Israel, top US military officials advised Secretary of Defense Heghseth that it would be difficult to maintain large-scale military operations against Iran for long, Syrian officials visited Libya, and Pakistan announced that the inaugural meeting of the Mecca Agreement Strategic Political and Defense Committee will be held in Istanbul on that day.
4. Trump announces US strategic reserves will be filled with Venezuelan oil
US President Trump stated that Venezuelan oil will be used to fill the US national strategic reserve, and the process to replenish it to full capacity will soon begin.
5. Michael Saylor releases Bitcoin Tracker information, Strategy may disclose position changes next week
Strategy founder and executive chairman Michael Saylor has released information about the Bitcoin Tracker and wrote, "We're ₿ack." Strategy typically discloses Bitcoin position changes the day after such news is released.
6. Bitmine has purchased ETH for 60 consecutive weeks, reaching 97% of its 5% target
Tom Lee, chairman of Bitmine Immersion Technologies, stated that the company has purchased ETH for 60 consecutive weeks, and its current holdings have reached 97% of its goal for 5% of supply. Tom Lee noted that compared to Strategy under Michael Saylor, Bitmine maintained a more stable buying frequency in its accumulation process.
7. Strive announces the purchase of $100 million worth of Bitcoin
Strive, led by Vivek Ramaswamy, announced it will purchase $100 million worth of Bitcoin.
8. SWIFT launches blockchain ledger to tackle stablecoin challenges, HSBC and Standard Chartered complete first real-time transaction
According to CoinDesk, SWIFT currently processes about $5 trillion in cross-border settlements daily, but transaction costs range from 1% to 4% and settlement takes 1 to 5 business days. Facing competition from stablecoins and tokenized assets, SWIFT launched a blockchain ledger last month; HSBC and Standard Chartered completed the first real-time transaction through this system, reducing settlement time to just a few seconds. BNY estimates the stablecoin and tokenized cash market will reach $3.7 trillion by 2030, while Citi projects the tokenized securities market will grow to $5.5 trillion over the same period.
