BAY 24-hour amplitude reaches 44.8%: price rebounds from a low of $0.024153 to a high of $0.03498 with no clear news catalyst

Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards compares the current artificial intelligence (AI) investment boom to the economic bubble before the 1997 Asian financial crisis. He warns that large-scale capital expenditures may be masking stagnant productivity growth, raising doubts about whether the AI frenzy can meet investors’ high expectations.

Goldman Sachs expects US companies to raise $600 billion in 2027, sets S&P target at 8,700 points, and states that buybacks and profits can withstand supply shocks.

U.S. mortgage rates are experiencing a sharp upward surge. In just over a month, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has climbed by a full percentage point, reaching above 7.5%, the highest level in three years. As a result, homebuyer demand has plummeted, and existing home sales in September are expected to show a significant decline.

Bank of America strategist Hartnett has made a counterintuitive assessment: the most favorable event for the stock market before the end of the year would be for the Federal Reserve to proactively raise interest rates in October—using a tightening move to curb the out-of-control long end. If the Fed proves its willingness to control inflation and term premium through an October rate hike, the market may actually stop worrying about the 10-year yield surging toward 6%, thereby easing pressure on stocks. Currently, while US stocks have not yet been brought down by interest rates, cracks are quietly spreading in South Korean brokers, French government bonds, and CCC-rated credit bonds.