TOWN (alt.town) 24-hour amplitude reaches 84.9%: Trading volume surges to $190,000 as price pumps and falls back

Goldman Sachs expects US companies to raise $600 billion in 2027, sets S&P target at 8,700 points, and states that buybacks and profits can withstand supply shocks.

U.S. mortgage rates are experiencing a sharp upward surge. In just over a month, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has climbed by a full percentage point, reaching above 7.5%, the highest level in three years. As a result, homebuyer demand has plummeted, and existing home sales in September are expected to show a significant decline.

Bank of America strategist Hartnett has made a counterintuitive assessment: the most favorable event for the stock market before the end of the year would be for the Federal Reserve to proactively raise interest rates in October—using a tightening move to curb the out-of-control long end. If the Fed proves its willingness to control inflation and term premium through an October rate hike, the market may actually stop worrying about the 10-year yield surging toward 6%, thereby easing pressure on stocks. Currently, while US stocks have not yet been brought down by interest rates, cracks are quietly spreading in South Korean brokers, French government bonds, and CCC-rated credit bonds.

A recent report from Goldman Sachs shows that the Iran war caused oil prices to surge from $3 to $5 per gallon, while the Democratic Party's lead in the general ballot simultaneously expanded from 5 to 9 percentage points—two trends that closely align. Goldman Sachs believes that Hurricane Isaias, once again impacting 63% of offshore capacity in the Gulf of Mexico, has made oil prices a true "ballot decider." Bank of America warns that if the Senate sweeps both chambers, it will trigger significant risk aversion, potentially causing the stock market to plunge by over 10% and weakening the US dollar.