Which nations have exhausted their fiscal capacity?
Changing Perspectives on Fiscal Policy
Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation remained persistently low, fostering the belief that central banks could maintain low interest rates indefinitely. This assumption led many governments to accumulate higher levels of debt, confident that interest costs would stay manageable. Modern Monetary Theory represents the most pronounced example of this mindset, but its influence has shaped fiscal strategies more broadly. As a result, budget deficits have expanded in numerous countries since the pandemic, despite its conclusion. The perceived freedom to spend collided with the surge in inflation and increased expenditure demands following COVID-19.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
From "Powering AI" to "Powering Everything"! Morgan Stanley: The electricity "super cycle" is underestimated by the market
Morgan Stanley believes that the drivers of electricity demand have expanded from AI to three major forces: industrial migration and air conditioning refrigeration. Global electricity consumption is projected to reach 36 trillion kWh by 2030, with an annual growth rate of 4.2%. Asia will absorb 64% of the newly generated electricity demand. Fossil fuels have unexpectedly regained market share and are expected to still account for about 50% of the global power structure in 2030. Pricing power is shifting from equipment manufacturers to power generation operators, with wholesale electricity prices in major markets expected to rise by about 20% year-over-year in 2026. These trends will create $500 billion in wealth, driving related companies’ earnings per share forecasts up by 14% by 2028, while the market has yet to fully price in these changes.

JPMorgan's Latest Macro Outlook: Continue Betting on U.S. Yield Curve Steepening and High-Yield Currencies, Beware of Oil Market Supply-Demand Divergence
JPMorgan recently released a research report providing an outlook on the macro environment, including global interest rates, foreign exchange, commodities, and emerging markets.
