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Solana price prediction for September 9 stays bullish only if $SOL holds $103.35 today, a level that keeps $109 in reach and, if lost, risks a slide back toward $98.76.
Solana Price Analysis: Can $SOL Clear the Supertrend Flip at $103.35?
Solana Price Analysis (Source: TradingView)
$SOL trades near $102.75, down 1% today, after a sharp late-August breakout took it from the $70s to a high of $109.65 in a matter of weeks, clearing a resistance band around $98 to $101 that had capped every rally since February. That old resistance zone is now the level to watch as support.
The Supertrend indicator, which has correctly called every major swing this year, buy signals near $75 and $60, sell signals near $145 and $109, currently sits at $103.35 in sell mode, meaning today’s pullback keeps $SOL just below the level that would flip it back to a buy signal. Price remains above all four EMAs, the 20-day at $98.76, the 50-day at $89.96, the 100-day at $85.73, and the 200-day at $91.21, an intact uptrend even with today’s dip.
$SOL Support and Resistance Levels, September 9, 2026
| Type | Price |
| Resistance | $103.35 |
| Resistance | $104.50 |
| Resistance | $109 |
| Support | $98.76 |
| Support | $89.98 |
| Support | $85.73 |
$SOL News: Transaction Capacity Upgrade Activates Today
Solana is raising its maximum transaction size from 1,232 bytes to 4,096 bytes today, September 9, through an upgrade called Transaction v1, according to Solana Foundation VP of technology Jacob Creech. The old limit dated back to Solana’s original networking protocol and stuck around even after the network changed how it transmits data in 2022.
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The practical effect: developers previously had to split complex operations, zero-knowledge proofs, large multi-signature approvals, batched trading, across multiple transactions, paying separate fees for each. A transaction more than three times the old size means those operations can now fit in one.
$SOL News: RWA Holders Cross 400K as Trading Platform Balances Hit a One-Year High
Solana’s official account said RWA holders on the network crossed 400,000 for the first time, up from under 10,000 in January 2025:
- RWA holders: 400,000+ (up from under 10,000 in January 2025)
- Trading platform balances: $175 million+, highest since September 2025, as per SolanaFloor
- Fomo alone: nearly $100 million, more than every other Solana trading platform combined
Two different metrics, same direction. More real-world assets are moving onto Solana, and more capital is sitting inside the apps built on top of it, growth that’s held up even with $SOL trading below its recent high today.
$SOL News: ETF Inflows Cool Sharply After a Strong August
$SOL spot ETFs pulled in just $6.18 million for the week ending September 4, a steep drop from $153.87 million the week before, according to SoSoValue.
Daily flows have turned negative too, with $5.21 million in net outflows on September 4 alone, led by Bitwise’s BSOL at -$2.79 million and Fidelity’s FSOL at -$2.41 million. Cumulative inflows across all $SOL ETFs stand at $1.35 billion.
| ETF Metric | Value |
| Weekly inflow, week of Sep 4 | $6.18M |
| Weekly inflow, week of Aug 28 | $153.87M |
| Daily net flow, Sep 4 | -$5.21M |
| Cumulative net inflow | $1.35B |
Solana Price Prediction: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for September 9
Bullish Case, Target: $109
$SOL holds above $98.76 and clears the Supertrend flip at $103.35. Trader Wayne Liang’s system flagged a buy signal near $75 and a sell near $109 during the last leg up, he expects a fresh buy signal soon, with $109 as the level that level marked last time. A clean Transaction v1 rollout would add a fundamental tailwind on top of the technical setup.
Bearish Case, Risk Level: $89.98 (Supertrend/EMA50 Confluence)
$SOL loses $98.76 and gives back the recent breakout. A close below $89.98, where the Supertrend support and 50-day EMA converge, would suggest the rally has stalled out, especially if ETF outflows continue.
Expert Insight
$SOL dipping on the exact day this upgrade goes live isn’t bad news, it’s just normal market behavior. Typically, when a project announces an upgrade a few weeks before it is due, traders start buying into that news early so most of the buying has already been done at the actual activation date. What remains today looks like profit-taking, not doubt.
Related: Pi Network Price Prediction: Will the September 15 Upgrade Be PI’s Real Catalyst?
What is really worth watching is not today’s price but whether developers start to use the bigger transaction limit in the next few weeks. That’s the part you can’t trade in advance.
FAQs
$SOL could extend toward $109 if it clears the Supertrend flip at $103.35 and holds above $98.76. Losing $98.76 risks a pullback toward $89.98.
It raises Solana’s maximum transaction size from 1,232 bytes to 4,096 bytes, letting complex operations like zero-knowledge proofs and batched trades fit in a single transaction instead of being split across several.
Weekly inflows fell to $6.18 million for the week ending September 4, down from $153.87 million the week before, according to SoSoValue, with several funds posting daily outflows on September 4.
Yes, by the measures reported this week. RWA holders crossed 400,000, up from under 10,000 in January 2025, and trading platform balances hit $175 million, the highest since September 2025, according to Solana and SolanaFloor.
